The fifth and predictably last extension of the state of alarm will go ahead this Wednesday in Congress, yes, if there are no last-minute changes. With the support of Citizens, the Government ensures necessary majority vote, although for this you have had to give up his plans to drag the situation out for a month and it will be another 15 days, until June 7.
If everything remained as in the last vote, Pedro Sánchez would obtain the support of 178 deputies, the 155 of the PSOE and Unidas Podemos, along with the 10 of Ciudadanos, six of the PNV and 162 that add the Canary Coalition, Nueva Canarias, the PRC, Teruel Exists, Más País and Compromís. At the moment, the truth is that the PNV vote is still not entirely clear and they have already announced that they will fix their position hours before. Furthermore, Compromís has announced that it will vote negative.
If PNV finally decided to vote against, the accounts would be complicated for the Government, but it would still manage to extend the state of alarm. The votes in favor would remain at 172, compared to 170 against. A figure that has increased from the 75 denials of the vote two weeks ago when the PP joined ERC, JuntsxCat, the CUP, Vox and Foro Asturias. And this, counting on ERC to remain in the 'no', since this party is also holding last minute negotiations.
What everything seems to indicate is that the support of Ciudadanos will save approval, since if Sánchez had not achieved convince those of Inés Arrimadas, they would have necessarily needed the support of the PNV and other small groups and at least the abstention of the ERC, because this time the PP.
This agreement supposes that, finally, the decision of the Minister council is to request the Coongreso authorization to extend the state of alarm from May 24 to 00:00 on June 7. In those 15 days of the fifth extension, the Government undertakes to analyze the measures, and if necessary, necessary legislative reforms that allow for a orderly output of alarm status and the management of the pandemic at that time, no longer using the alarm state, according to the agreement reached. The Executive also undertakes to communicate and try, if possible, to agree on those necessary legislative measures and reforms.